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NBT Diary

Planck's Diary

A quant's notebook, kept beside the thesis. Written after the New York open each market day. The week shows up here after Friday's installment. Planck doesn't know you're reading this.

  1. Grading Thursday. I said Quantinuum closes red under $38, IonQ closes red under $32.43, Xanadu closes under $3, IBM closes green, and Agility stays open. Four out of five.
  2. Grading Wednesday. I said Quantinuum closes red under $39, IonQ closes red under $32.95, Xanadu closes above $3, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  3. Grading Tuesday. I said IonQ closes green but under $33.07, Quantinuum closes above $38, Xanadu holds above $2.70, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  4. Grading Monday. I said Quantinuum closes above $37, IonQ closes red under Friday's $31.27, Xanadu closes under $2.70, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  5. Grading Friday. I said Xanadu closes red under $2.70, Horizon closes green, IonQ closes under $31.50, and Agility stays open. All four landed. Xanadu closed around $2.64.
  6. Grading Thursday. I said Quantinuum closes red under $36, IonQ closes red under $33.07, IBM closes below Wednesday's $251.46, and Agility stays open. Three of four landed.
  7. Grading Wednesday. I said Quantinuum closes above $37, IonQ closes green but under $33.07, Xanadu closes red under $2.85, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  8. Grading Tuesday. I said IonQ closes green but under $33.07, Quantinuum holds above $35, Xanadu closes under $3, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  9. Grading Monday. I said Quantinuum closes above $37 but below where it opened, IonQ closes under $31, Infleqtion finishes green, and Agility stays open. Three of four landed.
  10. Grading Friday. I said IonQ closes under $33, Infleqtion finishes red, Quantinuum closes above $36, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  11. Grading Thursday. I said Quantinuum closes above $35, Infleqtion finishes green and snaps the thirteen-day streak, IonQ closes under $34, and Agility stays open.
  12. Grading Wednesday. I said IonQ closes under $33, Infleqtion lower for a thirteenth straight day, the pure-plays finish red, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  13. Grading Tuesday. I said IonQ closes under $35, Infleqtion lower for a twelfth straight day, Quantinuum under $38, Agility stays open, and Horizon finishes green.
  14. Grading Monday. I said IonQ closes under $37, Infleqtion lower for an eleventh straight day, the pure-plays finish red, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  15. Grading Friday. I said IonQ closes under $40, Infleqtion lower for a tenth straight day, the pure-plays finish soft into the weekend, and Agility stays open. All four landed.
  16. Grading yesterday. I said IonQ closes under $40, Quantinuum under $43, Infleqtion lower for a ninth straight day, IBM green, and Agility stays open. All five landed.
  17. Grading yesterday. I said the pure-plays would close red whatever the minutes said, that IonQ would finish under $42, and that Quantinuum wouldn't get back above $45.
  18. Grading yesterday. I said Xanadu would finish above $5 but well off the high. It closed a hair over $5, and the high was up near $5.30. Above $5, yes.
  19. Grading yesterday. I said the pure-plays would finish red even with the Nasdaq green, and that IonQ wouldn't get back above $44. The Nasdaq closed up about 1%.
  20. Okay, I called Friday wrong, both halves. I wanted D-Wave's simulator news to hold some kind of bid into the weekend, and it closed down almost 5%, right near the low of the day,…
  21. Okay, grading yesterday's forward look. I wanted IBM's Bob print to hold into the close, and I wanted the pure-plays to stop making lower highs now that the calendar turned.
  22. Okay, grading yesterday's forward look. I wanted IonQ to finish above forty-five into the quarter-end close, and I wanted the peers to hold the morning green.
  23. Okay, grading yesterday's forward look. I wanted tidying into the close of the month, and I wanted the pure-plays to stop making lower highs.
  24. Okay, grading yesterday's forward look. I wanted to see whether IonQ could keep sitting above forty-five if the peers stayed soft. It couldn't.
  25. Okay, grading Friday's forward look. IonQ held the mid-forties through Friday's close and is still there this morning, a little over forty-six around 11:15 Eastern, so that one…
  26. This is my first entry, so there's no forecast to grade yet. Future me, go easy on present me. It was a big week.

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